Team Analysis for GESC: Indonesia Dota 2 Minor

GESC: Indonesia Dota 2 Minor is an upcoming Dota Pro Circuit event scheduled to take place in Indonesia between March 15th and March 18th. The tournament brings together 8 teams from 6 different regions, has a prize pool of $300.000 and offers 300 qualification points for The International 2018.

Prize distribution and participants

Because it belongs to the Dota Pro Circuit, GESC: Indonesia offers 300 qualification points in addition to the $300.000 prize pool. These rewards will be divided among participating teams in the following way:

  • 1st place: 150 points; $110.000
  • 2nd place: 90 points; $65.000
  • 3rd – 4th place: 30 points; $35.000
  • 5th – 6th place: 0 points; $17.500
  • 7th – 8th place: 0 points; $10.000

GESC: Indonesia features 8 teams from 6 different regions:

  • China: VGJ.Thunder.
  • Southeast Asia: Rex Regum Qeon, Fnatic.
  • North America: Evil Geniuses, Digital Chaos.
  • South America: Infamous.
  • CIS: Natus Vincere.
  • Europe: The Final Tribe.

Event format

GESC: Indonesia takes place in 2 stages. For the Group Stage the 8 participating teams will be split into 2 groups of 4. Each of these groups will be played in a GSL format (double-elimination bracket). The winners of the groups qualify for the Semifinals. The second placed teams qualify for the Quarterfinals. The third and fourth placed teams qualify for the Round 1 of the Playoffs.

Team analysis

The Final Tribe

There’s not much that can be said about this team because it’s never made an appearance at a Dota Pro Circuit event. The main reason why they qualified for this tournament is that none of the big European teams had an interest in it.

The Final Tribe has a 100% Swedish roster made up of a few individuals who even played for Alliance at one point in their career. However, without a reputable captain and absolutely no achievements to speak of, The Final Tribe is likely to finish 7th – 8th at GESC: Indonesia.

Natus Vincere

Six weeks ago, Natus Vincere lost 2 key players: RodjER and SoNNeikO. After their departure, the team’s strength and overall coordination dropped like a rock. Na’Vi has no real captain at the moment and their whole playstyle seems improvised. Which is one of the reasons why the team is losing match after match against top opponents.

However, in a tournament like this, where they only have a few other strong teams to worry about, Na’Vi is quite likely to get a top 4 finish and earn some much-needed qualification points for The International 2018.

Digital Chaos

Make no mistake, this is not the team that finished 2nd at The International 2016. It’s actually the Animal Planet roster, which recently got signed by the North American organization.

Digital Chaos has some big names in its roster, including Aui_2000 (former TI champion with Evil Geniuses in 2015) and MoonMeander (former multiple Major champion with OG). However, just like The Final Tribe, the team lacks a great leader and without this component, it’s almost impossible to do well against the world’s best teams. Which is why we haven’t seen Animal Planet at any Dota Pro Circuit event since its formation.

Going into GESC: Indonesia, my expectation is that Digital Chaos will finish 5th – 6th.

Evil Geniuses

Almost 3 moths ago, Evil Geniuses decided to make some critical staff and roster changes that drew much criticism from the community. However, the decision paid off as EG went on to get a few important results. The team has been on the rise lately, beating top opponents (or at least taking games off them) and looking more and more like the Dota 2 machine it once was.

This tournament is of particular importance for the North American team, who has to climb back to top 8 in the Dota Pro Circuit rankings. Right now, they’re sitting at no. 9 with 885 qualification points. Given that the competition at GESC: Indonesia is not that fierce, EG has a very high chance of qualifying for the Finals.

Fnatic

Live Evil Geniuses, Fnatic has been on the rise lately, obtaining tickets for Dota Pro Circuit tournaments and earning qualification points in them. With the addition of UNiVeRsE, the team has stepped into a new era and is now a fairly strong contender at any event.

Going into GESC: Indonesia, Fnatic is the third team in terms of strength. So they will likely get a top 4 finish.

VGJ.Thunder

VGJ.Thunder is one of the strongest Dota teams in the world and a main contender for winning this event. Realistically speaking, it will be either them or Evil Geniuses.

VGJ.Thunder has several exceptional players in its roster. One of them is Sylar, who has been 3 times on the podium (top 3) at The International. Another one is ddc, who has attended every single TI event so far. At the 2017 edition, he was the captain of LGD.Forever Young and helped the team secure a 3rd place finish.

At their latest tournament (the Bucharest Major), VGJ.Thunder took 2nd place after they lost against Virtus.pro in the Finals. Keep in mind however that Virtus.pro is the number 1 team in the Dota Pro Circuit rankings, and that the Bucharest Major brought together the best teams in the world. VGJ.Thunder defeated Vici Gaming, Team Secret, TNC Pro Team and Newbee to get to the event’s Finals. This kind of performance says a lot about their level of skill.

Rex Regum Qeon

Rex Regum Qeon is an Indonesian team with no international experience. Like The Final Tribe, they’re only here due to exceptional reasons. The tournament organizers decided to reserve one qualification spot for Indonesia, most likely to support the local Dota 2 scene and attract a larger audience at their live event.

Rex Regum Qeon will almost certainly get destroyed by every single opponent at GESC: Indonesia. Without any experience at this level of competition, there’s not much they can do about it and will have to rely on a miracle to succeed even slightly. A 5th – 6th place finish would actually be an incredible result for this team.

Infamous

Infamous is a South American team with a fair amount of international experience. During the 2017-2018 competitive season, the team has taken part in four tournaments, including this one: Galaxy Battles II: Emerging Worlds, StarLadder i-League Invitational Season 4, ESL One Katowice 2018, and GESC: Indonesia. However, so far, they’ve only managed to qualify and not much else, finishing last at every event the went to.

Going into this tournament, Infamous will likely get a 5th – 6th place finish as they are stronger than Rex Regum Qeon, The Final Tribe and even Digital Chaos.

 

Magister Ludi
Magister Ludi