The Overwatch League Betting Predictions May 4th – 5th

Week 5 of Stage 3 of the Overwatch League is almost over but there are still 6 matches to be played before we know for sure who will compete in the Title Matches. As usual, multiple betting opportunities exist but before I start going through them, let’s take a look at what the teams have done so far.

Standings table

  • 1st place: Boston Uprising (9 W – 0 L)
  • 2nd place: New York Excelsior (8 W – 1 L)
  • 3rd place: Los Angeles Valiant (6 W – 3 L)
  • 4th place: Los Angeles Gladiators (6 W – 3 L)
  • 5th place: San Francisco Shock (6 W – 4 L)
  • 6th place: Philadelphia Fusion (5 W – 4 L)
  • 7th place: Seoul Dynasty (4 W – 4 L)
  • 8th place: Houston Outlaws (4 W – 5 L)
  • 9th place: London Spitfire (3 W – 5 L)
  • 10th place: Florida Mayhem (2 W – 8 L)
  • 11th place: Dallas Fuel (1 W – 9 L)
  • 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 8 L)

Betting predictions

Los Angeles Gladiators (6 W – 3 L) – Boston Uprising (9 W – 0 L)

Match date: May 4th

Los Angeles Gladiators can get a top 3 finish at the end of this stage if it manages to win this match. The team is in excellent shape right now but its opponent is the best team in the league.

Los Angeles Gladiators suffered just 3 defeats so far in Stage 3, against New York Excelsior, Los Angeles Valiant and San Francisco Shock. At the same time, it got 3 relevant victories, against Seoul Dynasty, London Spitfire and Houston Outlaws. Overall, the team looks pretty strong but its chances against Boston Uprising are minimal.

Boston Uprising has had an amazing Stage 3 performance, defeating every single opponent and being on its way to becoming the first team in OWL to finish a stage without losing a single match.

The head to head record between these two teams favors Boston Uprising (2 – 0). Recent form and overall results also favor Uprising to win this match. Personally, I expect a close battle but Uprising should definitely emerge victorious in the end.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 2.75 – 1.40 in favor of Boston Uprising and this assessment is definitely correct.

Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win.

New York Excelsior (8 W – 1 L) – Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 8 L)

Match date: May 4th

New York Excelsior has had an excellent Stage 3 so far, losing just one match against Boston Uprising. In terms of overall results throughout the Overwatch League, Excelsior has an impressive 26 W – 3 L record and is looking to improve it with a victory over Shanghai Dragons.

Shanghai Dragons has the opportunity to establish a new negative record for all of esports this week, being on a 28 losing streak and needing just more loss the break the all-time record of 28 consecutive losses. Given that its opponent in this match is New York Excelsior, the chance of that happening is over 99%.

No matter what statistics you want to look at, New York Excelsior is 3 tiers above Shanghai Dragons and would need to intentionally throw the win in order for its opponent to have a chance here.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 1.03 – 9.00 in favor of New York Excelsior, and this is absolutely free money to be made.

Betting prediction: New York Excelsior to win.

London Spitfire (3 W – 5 L) – Seoul Dynasty (4 W – 4 L)

Match date: May 4th

London Spitfire has had a disastrous Stage 3 and is a mere shadow of its former self that won Stage 1 and placed 3rd in Stage 2. The team won just 3 matches in this stage and only 2 of them are relevant: one against Los Angeles Valiant and one against San Francisco Shock. Apart from these wins, Spitfire’s run has been abysmal.

On the other side, Seoul Dynasty is another team whose decline has been great in Stage 3. After a 7 W – 3 L record in Stage 1 and Stage 2, Dynasty is now in 8th place with just 4 victories and 4 defeats.

The head to head statistics clearly favor London Spitfire to win this encounter, having won its last two matches against Seoul Dynasty without dropping a single map. Overall results throughout the Overwatch League also favor Spitfire, but recent form statistics slightly favor Seoul Dynasty.

Betway puts the odds at 1.50 – 2.40 in favor of London Spitfire and at these odds the match constitutes a great betting opportunity.

Betting prediction: London Spitfire to win.

Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 8 L) – London Spitfire (3 W – 5 L)

Match date: May 5th

Odds: to be announced.

Another Shanghai Dragons match, another chance to make some easy money by betting against them. There’s absolutely no way for London Spitfire to lose this match against what is by far the weakest team in OWL, so whatever the odds may be, this is a great betting opportunity.

Betting prediction: London Spitfire to win.

Seoul Dynasty (4 W – 4 L) – Houston Outlaws (4 W – 5 L)

Match date: May 5th

Odds: to be announced.

Houston Outlaws is on the decline right now, having lost its last 2 matches against Los Angeles Gladiators and San Francisco Shock. The team has only had a few relevant victories in Stage 3, a close analysis of its results clearly suggests that it is still much stronger than Seoul Dynasty at this point.

The head to head record between these two teams is 1 – 1. Recent form statistics don’t point in any direction and overall statistics throughout the Overwatch League slightly favor Seoul Dynasty. However, given the teams defeated by Houston Outlaws in Stage 3 (London Spitfire and Los Angeles Valiant) and the results of those teams against Seoul Dynasty both in this stage and in the past, I believe that Outlaws is much more likely to win this match.

Betting prediction: Houston Outlaws to win.

Los Angeles Valiant (6 W – 3 L) – Philadelphia Fusion (5 W – 4 L)

Match date: May 5th

Odds: to be announced.

This match offers a great betting opportunity simply because Philadelphia Fusion is overrated right now. The team barely won last week against Shanghai Dragons (score 3 – 2), while its opponent almost defeated the strongest team in the league yesterday, Boston Uprising (score 2 – 3).

The head to head record between Valiant and Fusion is 1 – 1. Overall form clearly favors Valiant. Recent form statistics also point towards a victory in Valiant’s favor.

Betting prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.

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