The Overwatch League Betting Predictions S4W4

Week 4 of Stage 4 of the Overwatch League is already underway and today’s matches offer several Overwatch betting opportunities. This article analyzes these matches but first, let’s have a look at what the teams have done so far in Stage 4.

Standings table

  • 1st place: Los Angeles Valiant (7 W – 0 L)
  • 2nd place: Los Angeles Gladiators (6 W – 1 L)
  • 3rd place: New York Excelsior (5 W – 2 L)
  • 4th place: Houston Outlaws (5 W – 2 L)
  • 5th place: San Francisco Shock (4 W – 3 L)
  • 6th place: Philadelphia Fusion (4 W – 3 L)
  • 7th place: Dallas Fuel (4 W – 3 L)
  • 8th place: London Spitfire (3 W – 4 L)
  • 9th place: Seoul Dynasty (2 W – 5 L)
  • 10th place: Boston Uprising (1 W – 6 L)
  • 11th place: Florida Mayhem (1 W – 6 L)
  • 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 7 L)

Betting predictions

Boston Uprising (1 W – 6 L) vs. Shanghai Dragons (0 W – 7 L)

Match date: June 8th

After a record setting performance in Stage 3 (10 W – 0 L), Boston Uprising lost its head coach and apparently almost all of its former strength. It’s pretty remarkable how much a team can drop in such a short period of time. It only took 10 days for Uprising to go from king of the hill to throw-it-in-the-bin material. Currently sitting on a 1 W – 6 L record, the team will no doubt try its best to win the final 3 matches of Stage 3 in order to get a slightly better placement.

Ah, Shanghai Dragons. The team that never wins, no matter what. It’s like this roster is cursed or something. How exactly do you go on for 37 matches without winning a single one of them? It’s unheard of! But, if you’re an Overwatch bettor, this team is actually a blessing in disguise. You can bet unusually high amounts against it and you just never lose. The returns aren’t amazing, but they add up when you bet match after match, knowing that Shanghai Dragons will never disappoint.

Needless to say, every type of statistic you want to look at favors Boston Uprising to win this match. Betway puts the odds at 1.15 – 4.75 in favor of Uprising, clearly anticipating an easy victory in its favor.

Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win.

Florida Mayhem (1 W – 6 L) vs. Dallas Fuel (4 W – 3 L)

Match date: June 8th

Florida Mayhem is the second weakest team in the league, having gotten consistently poor results throughout all of its stages. Overall, Mayhem has a 7 W – 30 L record and that’s an absolutely abysmal win rate. You can pretty much expect this team to lose every single match except when playing against Shanghai Dragons.

Dallas Fuel has made somewhat of a comeback in Stage 4, winning important matches against the likes of London Spitfire and Philadelphia Fusion. Its current 4 W – 3 L record is much better than its Stage 3 result (1 W – 9 L).

Every kind of statistics favors Dallas Fuel to win this match. The skill difference between these two teams is huge at the moment, so a bet on Fuel is a low risk decision that yields some really high returns.

Betway puts the odds for this match at 2.95 – 1.35 in favor of Dallas Fuel, giving Florida Mayhem a lot of undeserved credit in my opinion. Fuel’s chance of success is much higher than what these odds suggest.

Betting prediction: Dallas Fuel to win.

Philadelphia Fusion (4 W – 3 L) vs. Seoul Dynasty (2 W – 5 L)

Match date: June 8th

Philadelphia Fusion finished 8th in Stage 3, doing ok but nothing spectacular. Overall, 5 wins and 5 losses. In this stage, the team seems to follow an identical trend as it’s heading towards a very similar result in terms of win/loss ratio. So far, it won against the 3 dead teams from the bottom of the standings table, namely Shanghai Dragons, Florida Mayhem and Boston Uprising, as well as against San Francisco Shock. This last victory was actually quite nice and it showed that Fusion still has what it takes to be a strong team.

Seoul Dynasty has had a miserable Stage 4, with just 2 wins against poor opponents (Shanghai Dragons and Florida Mayhem) and 5 painful losses. From time to time it looked as if Dynasty could win an important match (2 – 3 against Los Angeles Valiant and London Spitfire for example), but overall the team seemed lost.

In terms of overall results throughout the Overwatch League, Philadelphia Fusion is slightly better. Recent form statistics also favor it to win this match. But the head to head results suggest that Seoul Dynasty is actually the stronger side. Still, I’m not sure how much those results weigh in this equation, given that the current Dynasty is much weaker than the previous ones.

Betway puts the odds at 1.35 – 2.95 in favor of Philadelphia Fusion, clearly seeing Seoul Dynasty as being a shadow of its former self. I’m not entirely sold on this but overall, I do agree that Fusion should win this match.

Betting prediction: Philadelphia Fusion to win.

Magister Ludi
Magister Ludi