The Overwatch League – Betting Tips for Stage 3 Week 3

The Overwatch League is about to enter week 3 of Stage 3 and as always there are 12 matches to be played from Wednesday till Saturday. A whole variety of betting opportunities are available this week but before I start analyzing them, let’s take a look at the current standings table.

Stage 3 standings table

  • 1st place: Los Angeles Valiant (4 WINS – 0 LOSSES)
  • 2nd place: Boston Uprising (4 WINS – 0 LOSSES)
  • 3rd place: New York Excelsior (3 WINS – 1 LOSS)
  • 4th place: Los Angeles Gladiators (3 WINS – 1 LOSS)
  • 5th place: Philadelphia Fusion (3 WINS – 1 LOSS)
  • 6th place: Seoul Dynasty (2 WINS – 2 LOSSES)
  • 7th place: San Francisco Shock (2 WINS – 2 LOSSES)
  • 8th place: Dallas Fuel (1 WIN – 3 LOSSES)
  • 9th place: London Spitfire (1 WIN – 3 LOSSES)
  • 10th place: Houston Outlaws (1 WIN – 3 LOSSES)
  • 11th place: Florida Mayhem (0 WINS – 4 LOSSES)
  • 12th place: Shanghai Dragons (0 WINS – 4 LOSSES)

Betting predictions

Los Angeles Gladiators (3W – 1L) vs. Los Angeles Valiant (4W – 0L)

Match date: April 18th

Both of these teams had a great start in Stage 3. Los Angeles Gladiators suffered a shocking defeat at the hands of San Francisco Shock but then went on to win against Dallas Fuel, Shanghai Dragons and even Seoul Dynasty. On the other side, Los Angeles Valiant crushed every single opponent in a very convincing way. Seoul Dynasty, Shanghai Dragons, San Francisco Shock and Dallas Fuel, all experienced Valiant’s might and fell quickly (the first 3 without winning a single map).

Overall performance slightly favors Los Angeles Valiant. The head to head record between these teams is 1 – 1. Current form statistics also favor Los Angeles Valiant. The only worrying sign is the result from the previous direct match (4 – 0 in favor of Los Angeles Gladiators), but back then LA Valiant was having a bad time against most teams, finishing Stage 2 with a record of 4W – 6L.

Betting prediction: Los Angeles Valiant to win.

Dallas Fuel (1W – 3L) vs. San Francisco Shock (2W – 2L)

Match date: April 18th

Dallas Fuel had a poor start in Stage 3, still suffering from the loss of one of its best players (xQc). However, the team is deceptively strong even in its current formation and managed to pose problems even to the toughest opponents it faced so far. Los Angeles Gladiators lost one map to them, Los Angeles Valiant drew one map and lost another (after 12 consecutive map wins in its first 3 matches!), and Seoul Dynasty also lost 2 maps against this team.

San Francisco Shock had a better start in Stage 3. But, paradoxically, this team looks much weaker than Dallas Fuel, in spite of its better record. In particular, its losses against Los Angeles Valiant (0 – 4) and Seoul Dynasty (0 – 4) emphasize its inability to cope with strong adversaries. At the same time, Dallas Fuel managed to win maps against the exact same teams.

The head to head record between these teams is 1 – 1. Overall statistics favor San Francisco Shock, but recent performances clearly indicate that Dallas Fuel is the stronger side and will likely win this match.

Betting prediction: Dallas Fuel to win.

Shanghai Dragons (0W – 4L) vs. Seoul Dynasty (2W – 2L)

Match date: April 18th

Whenever you have one of the strongest teams in OWL playing against Shanghai Dragons you know it’s time to make some easy money. Shanghai Dragons is currently on a massive losing streak (24) and the end is nowhere near in my opinion. Even the weak teams beat them in a decisive manner, so a powerhouse like Seoul Dynasty will likely crush them without dropping a single map.

Betting prediction: Seoul Dynasty to win.

Houston Outlaws (1W – 3L) vs. Florida Mayhem (0W – 4L)

Match date: April 19th

After finishing Stage 1 on the podium and getting a mediocre result in Stage 2 (7th place), Houston Outlaws started Stage 3 with some bad results and a victory against London Spitfire. Keep in mind however that these bad results came against the 3 strongest teams in OWL at the moment, namely Boston Uprising, New York Excelsior and Philadelphia Fusion. And 2 of these 3 matches were actually really close (score 2 – 3). Subsequently, we can conclude that in spite of its poor start, Houston Outlaws is actually a very strong team that will likely crush weak adversaries like Florida Mayhem.

Betting prediction: Houston Outlaws to win.

Boston Uprising (4W – 0L) vs. London Spitfire (1W – 3L)

Match date: April 19th

Here we have another deceptive match between a team that’s 4W – 0L so far in Stage 3, and one that’s 1W – 3L. However, keep in mind that London Spitfire won Stage 1 and then finished Stage 2 in 3rd place. In Stage 3, it lost 3 matches against 3 tough opponents: Houston Outlaws (2 – 3), New York Excelsior (0 – 4) and Philadelphia Fusion (2 – 3).

The head to head record between these two teams is 1 – 1. Overall performance favors London Spitfire. Current form statistics favor Boston Uprising. The last direct encounter ended with a crushing victory in favor of London Spitfire (4 – 0).

This match is highly unpredictable but slightly Boston Uprising favored.

Betting prediction: Boston Uprising to win. A bet on its victory with a +1.5 maps advantage would be the safest betting option, because the match could go easily finish with a 2 – 3 or 3 – 2 result.

Philadelphia Fusion (3W – 1L) vs. New York Excelsior (3W – 1L)

Match date: April 19th

This is another close match between two teams that have already met each other several times, with an overall score of 2 – 1 in favor of New York Excelsior. In principle, the New York team should win this match with the score of 3 – 2 or 3 – 1. But its latest defeat against Boston Uprising emphasized some serious weaknesses in its strategies.

Overall performance favors New York Excelsior. Current form statistics also favor it slightly, in spite of its loss against Boston Uprising. The match will be close but the New York team is slightly favored to win it.

Betting prediction: New York Excelsior to win.

Magister Ludi
Magister Ludi